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Tuesday, November 21, 2006

PS3 and Wii Estimates

We estimate that Sony will sell 600,000 to 700,000 of its PlayStation 3, and Nintendo will sell between 1 million to 1.1 million units of the Wii. We expect titles to drive near-term sales growth throughout the early stages of the next-generation transition. While the numbers of new consoles build, we think game makers will continue to capitalize on the current equipment by releasing games on PlayStation 2.
-- Bright Holidays for Video Game Makers

Big winners, according to these analysts, seem to be the developers who can help herald in the new consoles while continuing to cash in on the Playstation 2. The 600k figure might sound a little odd since some had suspected that the holidays would only see 400k PlayStation 3's - so at this point the real figure might be somewhere in between "anyone's guess" and "whatever Sony manages to ship".

EDIT: I guess the 400k number is about what was shipped for the launch, so this is assuming another shipment of the same size also selling out.

And note to Microsoft - I think they mean sold to consumers ... not retailers.



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